Increase in cases of dengue in China, 2004-2016: A retrospective observational study.

Abstract Background Dengue fever (DF) is a vector-bore infectious disease that can infect humans, and has been recognized as a global public health threat, with significant morbidity and mortality rates. Method To describe the epidemiological profile of DF in China during 2004–2016, the morbidity data of DF by age-group, season (different months) and geographic location (different provinces) were obtained from the public health science data center of China for subsequent epidemiological analysis. Results The results showed that the incidence of DF shows striking annual variations, and two large outbreaks occurred in 2006–2007 and during 2012–2015. The results of the average morbidity rates (cases/100,000 population) for human DF indicated that among all dengue fever cases, Guangdong in southern area of China had the highest rates (3.8160 cases/100,000 population), followed by Yunnan (0.6614 cases/100,000 population), Fujian (0.3463 cases/100,000 population) and Guangxi (0.1474 cases/100,000 population). Epidemic peaks occurred in late June and early November, and the incidence rate among middle-aged people (30–45 years old) was relatively high, followed by rates among 15–29 and 45–59 age groups. Conclusion In this study, we demonstrated the epidemiological profile of DF circulating in China and revealed the geographic distribution, dynamic transmission, seasonal asymmetries and age distribution, which will provide guidelines on the prevention and control of DF in China. The present investigation is useful in the risk assessment of DF transmission, to predict DF outbreaks and the prevention and control strategies should be used along with surveillance to reduce the spread of DF in China.