Analysis of a molecular predictive mode for the growth of Staphylococcus aureus in pork

Gompertz函数 滞后 滞后时间 金黄色葡萄球菌 生物系统 细菌生长 计量经济学 时滞 统计 数学 预测建模 食品科学 热力学 化学 计算机科学 生物 物理 细菌 遗传学 计算机网络
作者
Zheng-ping Guan,Yun Jiang,Feng Gao,Lin Zhang,Guanghong Zhou,Zhengjun Guan
出处
期刊:International Journal of Food Properties [Marcel Dekker]
卷期号:20 (1): 68-82 被引量:8
标识
DOI:10.1080/10942912.2015.1136325
摘要

The objective of this study was to develop a molecular predictive model from quantitative real-time polymerase chain reaction methods to describe the growth of S. aureus strains in artificially contaminated pork in storage dependent of a constant temperature (7–30°C). This model acquired by quantitative real-time polymerase chain reaction methods was compared to a conventional predictive model using data. This study used three of the main growth models to fit the growth equation. The results proved that Modified Gompertz, Logistic, and Richards models were adequate for describing the growth curves. These models had the very low rate of the growth of S. aureus in pork during a lag phase. The growth rate increased with temperature, and the lag time decreased. Lag phases were apparent in all models, and those samples stored at low temperatures had longer lag phases. There was no significant difference in the molecular and conventional predictive models for any of the growth curves. However, the use of a molecular predictive model could save more time and labor to construct more precise models of certain pathogens. In conclusion, the molecular predictive model could provide an effective method to lessen the risk of S. aureus of pork.
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