繁荣
路径依赖
能量(信号处理)
经济
期货合约
补贴
经济体制
业务
自然资源经济学
市场经济
经济增长
微观经济学
数学
统计
金融经济学
出处
期刊:Nature Energy
[Springer Nature]
日期:2016-07-11
卷期号:1 (8)
被引量:128
标识
DOI:10.1038/nenergy.2016.98
摘要
Energy systems are subject to strong and long-lived path dependence, owing to technological, infrastructural, institutional and behavioural lock-ins. Yet, with the prospect of providing accessible cheap energy to stimulate economic development and reduce poverty, governments often invest in large engineering projects and subsidy policies. Here, I argue that while these may achieve their objectives, they risk locking their economies onto energy-intensive pathways. Thus, particularly when economies are industrializing, and their energy systems are being transformed and are not yet fully locked-in, policymakers should take care before directing their economies onto energy-intensive pathways that are likely to be detrimental to their long-run prosperity. Cheap energy can encourage economic growth but it can also force economies into specific energy-intensive futures. Roger Fouquet argues that path dependence in energy systems has profound implications for an economy and should be considered carefully before governments make choices about energy provision.
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