激励
库存(枪支)
认知
经济
认知心理学
社会学习
计算机科学
福利
微观经济学
知识经济
知识管理
背景(考古学)
常识
人类福利
人工智能
生成语法
组织学习
心理学
强化学习
实验经济学
认知科学
不可见的
社会心理学
学习理论
生成模型
联营
有限理性
能力(人力资源)
作者
Daron Acemoglu,Dingwen Kong,Asuman Ozdaglar
摘要
We study how generative AI, and in particular agentic AI, shapes human learning incentives and the long-run evolution of society's information ecosystem.We build a dynamic model of learning and decision-making in which successful decisions require combining shared, community-level general knowledge with individual-level, context-specific knowledge; these two inputs are complements.Learning exhibits economies of scope: costly human effort jointly produces a private signal about their own context and a "thin" public signal that accumulates into the community's stock of general knowledge, generating a learning externality.Agentic AI delivers context-specific recommendations that substitute for human effort.By contrast, a richer stock of general knowledge complements human effort by raising its marginal return.The model highlights a sharp dynamic tension: while agentic AI can improve contemporaneous decision quality, it can also erode learning incentives that sustain long-run collective knowledge.When human effort is sufficiently elastic and agentic recommendations exceed an accuracy threshold, the economy can tip into a knowledgecollapse steady state in which general knowledge vanishes ultimately, despite high-quality personalized advice.Welfare is generally non-monotone in agentic accuracy, implying an interior, welfare-maximizing level of agentic precision and motivating information-design regulations.In contrast, greater aggregation capacity for general knowledge-meaning more effective sharing and pooling of human-generated general knowledge-unambiguously raises welfare and increases resilience to knowledge collapse.
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