A multitask deep learning radiomics model for predicting the macrotrabecular-massive subtype and prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma after hepatic arterial infusion chemotherapy

Abstract Background The macrotrabecular-massive (MTM) is a special subtype of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), which has commonly a dismal prognosis. This study aimed to develop a multitask deep learning radiomics (MDLR) model for predicting MTM and HCC patients’ prognosis after hepatic arterial infusion chemotherapy (HAIC). Methods From June 2018 to March 2020, 158 eligible patients with HCC who underwent surgery were retrospectively enrolled in MTM related cohorts, and 752 HCC patients who underwent HAIC were included in HAIC related cohorts during the same period. DLR features were extracted from dual-phase (arterial phase and venous phase) contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CECT) of the entire liver region. Then, an MDLR model was used for the simultaneous prediction of the MTM subtype and patient prognosis after HAIC. The MDLR model for prognostic risk stratification incorporated DLR signatures, clinical variables and MTM subtype. Findings The predictive performance of the DLR model for the MTM subtype was 0.968 in the training cohort [TC], 0.912 in the internal test cohort [ITC] and 0.773 in the external test cohort [ETC], respectively. Multivariable analysis identified portal vein tumor thrombus (PVTT) ( p = 0.012), HAIC response ( p < 0.001), HAIC sessions ( p < 0.001) and MTM subtype ( p < 0.001) as indicators of poor prognosis. After incorporating DLR signatures, the MDLR model yielded the best performance among all models (AUC, 0.855 in the TC, 0.805 in the ITC and 0.792 in the ETC). With these variables, the MDLR model provided two risk strata for overall survival (OS) in the TC: low risk (5-year OS, 44.9%) and high risk (5-year OS, 4.9%). Interpretation A tool based on MDLR was developed to consider that the MTM is an important prognosis factor for HCC patients. MDLR showed outstanding performance for the prognostic risk stratification of HCC patients who underwent HAIC and may help physicians with therapeutic decision making and surveillance strategy selection in clinical practice.