23 Performance of the grace 2.0 score in patients with type 1 and type 2 myocardial infarction
作者
John Hung,Andreas Roos,Erik Kadesjö,David McAllister,Anoop S.V. Shah,Atul Anand,Fiona E. Strachan,Keith A.A. Fox,Nicholas L. Mills,Martin J. Holzmann,Andrew R. Chapman
Introduction The Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events (GRACE) score was developed to evaluate risk in patients with myocardial infarction. However, its performance in type 2 myocardial infarction is uncertain. Methods In two cohorts of consecutive patients with suspected acute coronary syndrome from ten hospitals in Scotland (n=48,282) and a tertiary care hospital in Sweden (n=22,589), we calculated the GRACE 2.0 score to estimate death at one year. Discrimination was evaluated by the area under the receiver-operator-curve (AUC), and compared for those with an adjudicated diagnosis of type 1 and type 2 myocardial infarction using DeLong’s test. Results Type 1 myocardial infarction was diagnosed in 4,981 (10%) and 1,080 (5%) patients in Scotland and Sweden, respectively. At one year, 720 (15%) and 112 (10%) patients died with an AUC for the GRACE score of 0.83 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.82 to 0.85) and 0.85 (95% CI 0.81 to 0.89). Type 2 myocardial infarction occurred in 1,121 (2%) and 247 (1%) patients in Scotland and Sweden respectively, with 258 (23%) and 57 (23%) deaths at one year. The AUC was 0.73 (95% CI 0.70 to 0.77) and 0.73 (95% CI 0.66 to 0.81) in type 2 myocardial infarction, which was lower than for type 1 myocardial infarction in both cohorts (P<0.001 and P=0.008, respectively). Conclusions The GRACE score provided good discrimination for all-cause death at one year in patients with type 1 myocardial infarction, and moderate discrimination for those with type 2 myocardial infarction. Conflict of Interest None