MRI spot sign in acute intracerebral hemorrhage: an independent biomarker of hematoma expansion and poor functional outcome

In acute intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH), the prognostic value of the MRI spot sign on hematoma expansion (HE) and poor functional outcome is poorly known. We retrospectively included patients admitted over a 4-year period for an acute ICH in a single institution using MRI as the first-line imaging tool. The presence and number of MRI spot signs on contrast-enhanced T1-weighted imaging was evaluated by one neuroradiologist, blinded from outcomes. The primary outcome was HE, defined as > 6 mL or > 33% ICH volume growth from initial MRI to 24–48 h follow-up imaging; the secondary outcome was poor 3-month modified Rankin score (4–6). Overall, 147 patients were included, and 62% had a spot sign. Among the 130 patients with follow-up imaging, 24% experienced HE. HE occurred in 6%, 21% and 43% patients with 0, 1 and ≥ 2 spots, respectively (P < 0.001). The MRI spot sign was independently associated with HE (adjusted OR 6.15 [95% CI 1.60–23.65]; P = 0.008), with a dose-dependent effect. The negative and positive predictive values of the spot sign for HE were 0.94 and 0.35, respectively. Poor functional outcome occurred in 27%, 32% and 71% patients with 0, 1 and ≥ 2 spots, respectively (P < 0.001). In multivariable analysis, the presence of ≥ 2 spots was independently associated with poor functional outcome (adjusted OR 3.67 [95% CI 1.21–11.10]; P = 0.024). The MRI spot sign is an independent biomarker of HE, and the presence of ≥ 2 spots is independently associated with poor 3-month outcome. The lack of spot sign is highly predictive of a favorable evolution.