Quantitative microbial risk assessment of pathogenic Escherichia coli in commercial kimchi in South Korea

Owing to convenience, ease of preparation, and price, the consumption of commercial kimchi is gradually rising in South Korea. Here, we estimated the risk level posed by pathogenic Escherichia coli in commercial kimchi products using the quantitative microbial risk assessment (QMRA) approach to develop measures for preventing potential foodborne outbreaks from kimchi consumption. We collected 610 samples of commercial kimchi products produced in Korea, 267 kimchi samples from foreign countries imported to Korea, and 187 raw materials used in kimchi preparation, and analyzed them for contamination with pathogenic E. coli. A Predictive model was developed to observe the survival characteristics of pathogenic E. coli. A dose-response model was selected, and the risk level was estimated using @RISK software. Although a prior epidemiological study indicated the frequent occurrence of foodborne outbreaks arising from contaminated kimchi products consumed in food service facilities, we found a low probability of foodborne illness caused by pathogenic E. coli in commercial kimchi products.