CT-based radiomics nomogram may predict who can benefit from adaptive radiotherapy in patients with local advanced-NSCLC patients

Although adaptive radiotherapy (ART) has many advantages, ART is not universal in the clinical appliance due to the consumption of a lot of labor, and economic burden. It is necessary to explore a CT stimulation-based radiomics model for screening who can get more benefits from ART in locally advanced non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients.183 cases of NSCLC patients receiving concurrent chemoradiotherapy with an adaptive approach were enrolled as a primary cohort, while 28 cases from another hospital served as an independent external validation cohort. Tumor regression assessment was conducted based on GTV reduction (Criteria A) or according to RECIST Version 1.1(Criteria B). The radiomics features were extracted by the "PyRadiomics" package and further screened by the LASSO method. Then, logistic regression was used to establish the model. Bootstrap and external validation were applied to verify the stability of the model. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was delineated to assess the predictive efficacy of the radiomics model. Dose-volume histograms were quantitatively compared between the initial and composite ART plans. Clinical endpoints included overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS).There were no significant differences in clinical features between tumor regression-resistant (RR) and tumor regression-sensitivity (RS) groups. The AUC values of the Criteria A model and Criteria B model were 0.767 and 0.771, respectively. Bootstrapping validation and external validation confirmed the stability of models. In all patients, there was a significant benefit of ART in the lung, heart, cord, and esophagus compared to non-ART, particularly in RS patients. Furthermore, PFS and OS from ART were significantly longer in RS as defined by Criterion B than in RR patients with the same ART application.CT-based radiomics can screen out the patients who can gain more benefits from ART, which contribute to guiding and popularizing the application of ART strategy in the clinic within economic benefits and feasibility.