Does neck circumference predict obstructive sleep apnea in children with obesity

Abstract Objectives Obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) affects 10–50% of children with obesity, but its identification is challenging and wait times for testing are long. Previous studies suggest that neck circumference (NC) and neck-to-height ratio (NHR) may predict OSA. Our objectives were to 1) evaluate associations of NC and NHR with OSA; 2) model NHR as a predictor of OSA, adjusting for age, sex, and Tanner stage; and 3) identify thresholds of NHR associated with OSA, in children with obesity. Methods Participants were aged 8–17 years, with obesity (BMI >95%ile), undergoing polysomnography. Associations between NC and NHR with OSA were evaluated. NHR, age, sex and self-reported Tanner stage (early/late) were included in a negative binomial multiple regression model to predict obstructive apnea hypopnea index (OAHI). Results 71 children participated, with median age 14.8 years (IQR 12.6, 16.0), 54% male, median BMI z-score 2.5 (IQR 2.3, 2.7), and 77% late Tanner stage. OSA was severe in 18 children (25.4%), moderate in 12 (16.9%), and mild in 18 (25.4%). In the model, each 0.01 increase in NHR was associated with a 55% increase in OAHI (95% CI: 36%, 80%); boys had a 119% higher OAHI than girls (95% CI: 10%, 337%). Threshold NHR associated with moderate-severe OSA was 0.25 in females and 0.23 in males. Conclusions NHR and male sex independently predict OSA severity in children with obesity, adjusting for age and Tanner stage. Children with obesity and NHR above identified thresholds are more likely to have moderate-severe OSA, and may benefit from earlier polysomnography.