随机波动
波动性(金融)
远期波动率
计量经济学
具有长尾分布和波动率聚类的金融模型
高斯分布
隐含波动率
数学
航程(航空)
经济
计算机科学
应用数学
物理
工程类
航空航天工程
量子力学
作者
Sassan Alizadeh,Michael W. Brandt,Francis X. Diebold
摘要
We propose using the price range in the estimation of stochastic volatility models. We show theoretically, numerically, and empirically that the range is not only a highly efficient volatility proxy, but also that it is approximately Gaussian and robust to microstructure noise. The good properties of the range imply that range-based Gaussian quasi-maximum likelihood estimation produces simple and highly efficient estimates of stochastic volatility models and extractions of latent volatility series. We use our method to examine the dynamics of daily exchange rate volatility and discover that traditional one-factor models are inadequate for describing simultaneously the high- and low-frequency dynamics of volatility. Instead, the evidence points strongly toward tw-factor models with one highly persistent factor and one quickly mean-reverting factor.
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