Industrial financial risk prediction model based on graph neural network and knowledge graph inference

计算机科学 推论 图形 人工神经网络 财务风险 稳健性(进化) 机器学习 人工智能 风险管理 金融网络 领域知识 图论 财务 数据挖掘 一般化 金融服务 知识表示与推理 有向图 知识库 风险分析(工程) 预警系统 金融市场 风险价值 基于知识的系统 财务建模 图形数据库 依赖关系图 因果推理 功率图分析 系统性风险 财务比率 代表(政治)
作者
Y. Ma
出处
期刊:Journal of Circuits, Systems, and Computers [World Scientific]
标识
DOI:10.1142/s0218126626501033
摘要

With the increasing complexity of global financial market and the surge of data volume, how to effectively predict and avoid industrial financial risks has become a key issue that financial institutions and regulators need to solve. Traditional prediction methods are often limited by the limitations of data representation and the ability of models to deal with complex relationships, while graph neural network and knowledge graph provide a new perspective and means to solve these problems. This study constructs a knowledge graph covering a wide range of industrial financial information, which not only contains the direct correlation between industries, but also incorporates rich background knowledge and semantic information. A novel graph neural network architecture is designed, which can make full use of structured information in knowledge graph to learn the potential correlation and dependency between industries. The experimental results show that compared with the existing industrial financial risk prediction models, the proposed model has significant advantages in forecasting accuracy, stability and generalization ability. Especially when dealing with complex and changeable industrial financial data, the model can more accurately capture potential risk factors and provide timely and reliable risk early warning for financial institutions. The industrial financial risk prediction model based on graph neural network and knowledge graph reasoning proposed in this study provides a new and effective solution for industrial financial risk prediction. The model not only improves the accuracy and robustness of the forecast, but also provides financial institutions with more intelligent and refined risk management tools.
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