蒸汽机                        
                
                                
                        
                            技术进步                        
                
                                
                        
                            产业组织                        
                
                                
                        
                            回归规模                        
                
                                
                        
                            比例(比率)                        
                
                                
                        
                            技术变更                        
                
                                
                        
                            经济                        
                
                                
                        
                            新兴技术                        
                
                                
                        
                            业务                        
                
                                
                        
                            计算机科学                        
                
                                
                        
                            工程类                        
                
                                
                        
                            宏观经济学                        
                
                                
                        
                            机械工程                        
                
                                
                        
                            生产(经济)                        
                
                                
                        
                            人工智能                        
                
                                
                        
                            生产力                        
                
                                
                        
                            物理                        
                
                                
                        
                            量子力学                        
                
                        
                    
            作者
            
                Timothy F. Bresnahan,Manuel Trajtenberg            
         
                    
        
    
            
            标识
            
                                    DOI:10.1016/0304-4076(94)01598-t
                                    
                                
                                 
         
        
                
            摘要
            
            Whole eras of technical progress and growth appear to be driven by a few 'General Purpose Technologies' (GPT's), such as the steam engine, the electric motor, and semiconductors. GPT's are characterized by pervasiveness, inherent potential for technical improvements, and 'innovational complementarities', giving rise to increasing returns-to-scale. However, a decentralized economy will have difficulty in fully exploiting the growth opportunities of GPT's: arms-length market transactions between the GPT and its users may result in 'too little, too late' innovation. Likewise, difficulties in forecasting the technological developments of the other side can lower the rate of technical advance of all sectors.
         
            
 
                 
                
                    
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