Predicting subsurface classification in 2D from cone penetration test data

Uncertainty is inevitable in the characterisation of a geotechnical site, especially due to the inherently heterogeneous nature of the ground. In this paper, a method for characterising a subsurface with limited cone penetration test (CPT) data is proposed. The method is based on integrating predictions of CPT parameters with a probabilistic approach for subsoil classification at the CPTs. The predicted stratigraphy is able to capture the spatial variability of soil measured via CPTs and takes account of the uncertainties that arise from transforming CPT measurements into soil units as well as errors in the measurements themselves. The applicability of the proposed method is demonstrated for a site in the Netherlands. The results show that the proposed approach can identify the most likely classification in the domain with good accuracy. Furthermore, the significance of considering the uncertainties in predicting the most likely classification is illustrated via finite element stability analyses of a slope cut-out in the domain.