Assembly mechanism and stability of zooplankton communities affected by China's south-to-north water diversion project

Water diversion can effectively alleviate water resource shortages and improve water environmental conditions, while also causing unknown ecological consequences, in particular, the assembly mechanism of zooplankton communities in the affected areas will become more complex after long-term water transfer. Taking Nansi Lake, the second largest impounded lake along the eastern route of China's South to North Water Diversion Project (SNWDP), as an example, the composition and diversity of zooplankton communities in the lake area and estuaries during the water diversion period (WDP) and non-water diversion period (NWDP) were studied. The potential assembly process of zooplankton communities was further explored, and the stability of communities in different regions during different periods was compared. The related results indicated that the changes in water quality conditions induced by water diversion had a relatively weak impact on the zooplankton communities. In the assembly mechanism of zooplankton communities, stochastic process played a more important role during both WDP or NWDP, and the proportion of deterministic process was relatively higher during NWDP, which may be related to the greater role of total nitrogen (TN) in the assembly of the zooplankton communities. The network analysis and cohesion calculation results showed that the stability of the zooplankton communities in the lake area sites was higher than that in the estuary sites, and the stability during NWDP was higher than that during WDP. In sum, the stability of zooplankton communities displayed a degree of change affected by water diversion activities, but the community assembly was not significantly influenced by the water quality fluctuations after about relatively long-term water diversion. This study provides an in-depth understanding of the ecological effects of water diversion on the biological communities in the affected lake, which is beneficial to the management and regulation of long-term water diversion projects.