大洪水
脆弱性(计算)
暴发洪水
气候变化
洪水风险管理
归属
危害
地理
基线(sea)
人口
环境资源管理
环境科学
生态学
环境卫生
渔业
生物
社会心理学
计算机安全
心理学
考古
医学
计算机科学
作者
Dominik Paprotny,Aloïs Tilloy,Simon Treu,Anna Buch,Michalis Vousdoukas,Luc Feyen,Heidi Kreibich,Bruno Merz,Katja Frieler,Matthias Mengel
出处
期刊:Science Advances
[American Association for the Advancement of Science]
日期:2025-08-15
卷期号:11 (33): eadt7068-eadt7068
被引量:5
标识
DOI:10.1126/sciadv.adt7068
摘要
Flood impacts in Europe are considered to be increasing, but attribution of impacts to climatic and societal drivers of past floods has been limited to a selection of recent events. Here, we present an impact attribution study covering 1729 riverine, flash, coastal, and compound events that were responsible for an estimated 83 to 96% of flood-related impacts in Europe between 1950 and 2020. We show that, in most regions, the magnitude of flood impacts relative to the 1950 baseline has been regulated primarily by direct human actions. The population and economic value at risk have increased, but the effect of exposure growth has been largely compensated by reductions in vulnerability due to improved risk management. Observed long-term changes in climate and human alterations of river catchments were also important drivers of flood hazard in many regions, but ultimately less relevant for trends in total, continental-wide impacts.
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