因果推理
计算机科学
集合(抽象数据类型)
匹配(统计)
因果模型
数据集
数据挖掘
领域(数学)
因果结构
混淆
统计假设检验
变量(数学)
统计推断
计量经济学
人工智能
统计
数学
数学分析
物理
量子力学
程序设计语言
纯数学
作者
Arya Nanda,Henry V. Burton
标识
DOI:10.1016/j.jobe.2024.109978
摘要
This article presents a framework for inferring quantitative causal relationships from data generated by disparate structural experiments (DSEs). The term DSE is introduced to describe a set of experiments that, individually, aim to answer a unique research question (or set of questions), but the associated data are aggregated and used for a common purpose. In contrast to DSEs, controlled structural experiments (CSEs) are designed with a single goal (or small set of related goals) where the issue of confounding is addressed in the design of the test matrix. Consequently, the variable relationships established from CSE data can be directly interpreted as being causal. On the other hand, inferring causal relationships from DSE data requires addressing the issue of confounding in the analysis stage. The proposed framework leverages the language, principles, and methods from the broad field of causal inference that have been developed over the last few decades. Specifically, the overall approach centers on the matching technique, which was developed to extract causal relationships from observational data (i.e., data generated by an uncontrolled or natural experiment). A case study is presented utilizing a data set generated by DSEs performed on reinforced concrete shear walls. Using the proposed framework, the causal effect of two key design variables on the drift capacity is quantified. The results obtained from the causal analysis are markedly different from those produced by traditional statistical techniques.
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