发射强度
强度(物理)
集合(抽象数据类型)
计算机科学
运筹学
非线性系统
索引(排版)
中国
碳纤维
计量经济学
环境经济学
工业工程
数学
算法
经济
工程类
政治学
物理
激发
量子力学
万维网
法学
复合数
电气工程
程序设计语言
出处
期刊:Grey systems
[Emerald (MCB UP)]
日期:2023-10-11
标识
DOI:10.1108/gs-02-2023-0015
摘要
Purpose This study aims to predict China's carbon emission intensity and put forward a set of policy recommendations for further development of a low-carbon economy in China. Design/methodology/approach In this paper, the Interaction Effect Grey Power Model of N Variables (IEGPM(1,N)) is developed, and the Dragonfly algorithm (DA) is used to select the best power index for the model. Specific model construction methods and rigorous mathematical proofs are given. In order to verify the applicability and validity, this paper compares the model with the traditional grey model and simulates the carbon emission intensity of China from 2014 to 2021. In addition, the new model is used to predict the carbon emission intensity of China from 2022 to 2025, which can provide a reference for the 14th Five-Year Plan to develop a scientific emission reduction path. Findings The results show that if the Chinese government does not take effective policy measures in the future, carbon emission intensity will not achieve the set goals. The IEGPM(1,N) model also provides reliable results and works well in simulation and prediction. Originality/value The paper considers the nonlinear and interactive effect of input variables in the system's behavior and proposes an improved grey multivariable model, which fills the gap in previous studies.
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