Prognostic factors in localized pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma after neoadjuvant therapy and resection: a systematic review and Meta-Analysis

Abstract Introduction Prognostic markers for overall survival (OS) in resected pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) are well-established but remain unclear following neoadjuvant therapy (NAT). This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to determine factors associated with OS following NAT in resected PDAC. Methods The PubMed, Embase, Scopus, Web of Science, and Cochrane CENTRAL databases were systematically searched from inception till May 2024. Studies that reported univariable and multivariable hazard ratios (HRs) were included if patients underwent NAT and resection for localized PDAC. Study quality assessment was performed using the Newcastle-Ottawa scale. Meta-analysis was performed using generic inverse-variance random-effects models. Results Among 2,208 unique articles identified by the search, 92 were included in the meta-analysis. Eighty-five of these were of 'good' and 7 of 'poor' quality. The NAT regimen was described in 84 studies, of which 62 included patients treated with FOLFIRINOX (FFX). Margin status, nodal disease, AJCC T-stage, and normalization of CA19-9 after NAT were prognostic for OS, while age, sex, perineural invasion, baseline tumor size, and baseline CA19-9 were not. The test for subgroup differences between ypN-substages was not significant in the multivariable model. Neoadjuvant FFX was associated with better survival than other regimens. Conclusions This meta-analysis identified margin status, nodal disease, AJCC T-stage, and normalization of CA19-9 after NAT as prognostic factors for OS in patients with resected localized PDAC following NAT.