The Best of Both Worlds: Combining Randomized Controlled Trials with Structural Modeling

反事实思维 可靠性 利用 计算机科学 估计 结构估计 点(几何) 管理科学 计量经济模型 经济 计量经济学 数学 政治学 认识论 哲学 管理 法学 计算机安全 几何学
作者
Petra Todd,Kenneth I. Wolpin
出处
期刊:Journal of Economic Literature [American Economic Association]
卷期号:61 (1): 41-85 被引量:17
标识
DOI:10.1257/jel.20211652
摘要

There is a long-standing debate about the extent to which economic theory should inform econometric modeling and estimation. This debate is particularly evident in the program/policy evaluation literature, where reduced-form (experimental or quasi-experimental) and structural modeling approaches are often viewed as rival methodologies. Reduced-form proponents criticize the assumptions invoked in structural applications. Structural modeling advocates point to the limitations of reduced-form approaches in not being able to inform about program impacts prior to implementation or about the costs and benefits of program designs that deviate from the one that was implemented. In this paper, we argue that there is a new emerging view of a natural synergy between these two approaches, that they can be melded to exploit the advantages and ameliorate the disadvantages of each. We provide examples of how data from randomized controlled trials (RCTs), the exemplar of reduced form practitioners, can be used to enhance the credibility of structural estimation. We also illustrate how the structural approach complements experimental analyses by enabling evaluation of counterfactual policies/programs. Lastly, we survey many recent studies that combine these methodologies in various ways across different subfields within economics. (JEL C21, C52, C53, H24, I38, J13, R38)

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