Joint Probability Distribution of Significant Wave Height and Peak Wave Period Using Gaussian Copula Method

有效波高 联合概率分布 威布尔分布 波高 统计 数学 连接词(语言学) 高斯分布 重现期 概率分布 风浪 物理 计量经济学 地理 考古 量子力学 热力学 大洪水
作者
Uk-Jae Lee,Hong-Yeon Cho,Byeong Wook Lee,Dong-Hui Ko
出处
期刊:Journal of Coastal Research [Coastal Education and Research Foundation]
卷期号:116 (sp1) 被引量:7
标识
DOI:10.2112/jcr-si116-020.1
摘要

Lee, U.-J.; Cho, H.-Y.; Lee, B.W., and Ko, D.-H., 2023. Joint probability distribution of significant wave height and peak wave period using Gaussian copula method. In: Lee, J.L.; Lee, H.; Min, B.I.; Chang, J.-I.; Cho, G.T.; Yoon, J.S., and Lee, J. (eds.), Multidisciplinary Approaches to Coastal and Marine Management. Journal of Coastal Research, Special Issue No. 116, pp. 96-100. Charlotte (North Carolina), ISSN 0749-0208. In this study, the joint probability distribution was estimated using the significant wave height-peak wave period data observed for 3 years for 3 stations along the coast of Korea, and an environmental contour line drawing was performed. For accurate estimation, an optimal probability distribution model was calculated for each wave parameter, and the Kolmogorov-Smirnov test and Kullback-Leibler divergence were used for the distribution fit test. Using each estimated optimal probability distribution, a Gaussian copula function was applied considering the correlation between the two wave parameters. As a result of the analysis, it was found that the significant wave height was suitable for the ‘Log-normal’ and ‘3-P Weibull’ distributions, and the peak wave period was suitable for the ‘Log-normal’ distribution. Then, as a result of correlation analysis between significant wave height and peak wave period at all points, it was confirmed that there was a significant correlation. As a result of performing environmental contour line drawing through this, observation data exceeding 3-year recall were found to be less than 1.0% of the total data. In addition, the environmental contour line calculated through the Gaussian Copula showed a limit to reproduce the area where no wave exists as a concave tendency appeared.
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