Evaluation of dual-energy CT derived radiomics signatures in predicting outcomes in patients with advanced gastric cancer after neoadjuvant chemotherapy

To investigate the prognostic value of dual-energy CT (DECT) based radiomics to predict disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) for patients with advanced gastric cancer (AGC) after neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC).From January 2014 to December 2018, a total of 156 AGC patients were enrolled and randomly allocated into a training cohort and a testing cohort at a ratio of 2:1. Volume of interest of primary tumor was delineated on eight image series. Four feature sets derived from pre-NAC and delta radiomics were generated for each survival arm. Random survival forest was used for generating the optimal radiomics signature (RS). Statistical metrics for model evaluation included Harrell's concordance index (C-index) and the average cumulative/dynamic AUC throughout follow-up. A clinical model and a combined Rad-clinical model were built for comparison.The pre-IU (derived from iodine uptake images before NAC) RS performed best for DFS and OS in the testing cohort (C-indices, 0.784 and 0.698; the average cumulative/dynamic AUCs, 0.80 and 0.77). When compared with the clinical model, the radiomics model had significantly higher C-index to predict DFS in the testing cohort (0.784 vs. 0.635, p < 0.001), but no statistical difference was found for OS (0.698 vs. 0.680, p = 0.473). The combined Rad-clinical models showed improved performance in the testing cohort, with C-indices of 0.810 and 0.710 for DFS and OS, respectively.DECT-derived radiomics serves as a promising non-invasive biomarker to predict survival for AGC patients after NAC, providing an opportunity for transforming proper treatment.