农村电气化
规范化(社会学)
纬度
微电网
光伏系统
尺寸
估计
外推法
航程(航空)
计算机科学
太阳辐照度
辐照度
电气化
环境科学
灵敏度(控制系统)
气象学
气候变化
地理信息系统
稳健性(进化)
工作(物理)
可比性
偏移量(计算机科学)
作者
Hironobu Matsuo,Yash Pandey
标识
DOI:10.1109/pree67492.2025.11433910
摘要
The reliable sizing of photovoltaic (PV) and battery energy storage systems (BESS) remains a central challenge for rural microgrid development, particularly in data-scarce environments where advanced optimization tools are inaccessible. Previous work introduced a simplified, simulation-light framework for PV-BESS capacity estimation based on daily demand and Global Horizontal Irradiance (GHI), validated for near-equatorial regions. This paper extends the framework to twelve representative cities across diverse Köppen-Geiger climatic zones, spanning tropical, arid, temperate, and continental contexts. Using Typical Global Horizontal Irradiance Year (TGY) datasets, both cosine-based normalization $1 / \cos \theta$ and half-cosine adjustment $2 /(1+\cos \theta)$ are applied to mitigate latitude-induced bias, while commercial load archetypes are used to test sensitivity to variability. As a result, normalization according to latitude with half cosign adjustment significantly improved the accuracy of PV capacity estimation and allowed the new formula to be extended to a latitude range of up to $\mathbf{5 0}^{\boldsymbol{\circ}}$. Similarly, the BESS capacity can be more accurately estimated using the new formula, which employs cosine normalization. The study establishes a generalized, zone-inclusive extension of the equatorial framework, offering a practical pre-feasibility tool for microgrid planners and decisionmakers in rural electrification initiatives in a wide range of areas.
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