环境科学
全球变暖
自然灾害
气候学
气候变化
地理
气象学
生态学
生物
地质学
作者
Solomon H. Gebrechorkos,Justin Sheffield,Sergio M. Vicente‐Serrano,Chris Funk,Diego G. Miralles,Jian Peng,Ellen Dyer,Joshua Talib,Hylke E. Beck,Michael Bliss Singer,Simon Dadson
出处
期刊:Nature
[Nature Portfolio]
日期:2025-06-04
卷期号:642 (8068): 628-635
被引量:194
标识
DOI:10.1038/s41586-025-09047-2
摘要
, and a limited understanding of the extent to which a key driver, atmospheric evaporative demand (AED), impacts the recent evolution of the magnitude, frequency, duration and areal extent of droughts. Here, by developing an ensemble of high-resolution global drought datasets for 1901-2022, we find an increasing trend in drought severity worldwide. Our findings suggest that AED has increased drought severity by an average of 40% globally. Not only are typically dry regions becoming drier but also wet areas are experiencing drying trends. During the past 5 years (2018-2022), the areas in drought have expanded by 74% on average compared with 1981-2017, with AED contributing to 58% of this increase. The year 2022 was record-breaking, with 30% of the global land area affected by moderate and extreme droughts, 42% of which was attributed to increased AED. Our findings indicate that AED has an increasingly important role in driving severe droughts and that this tendency will likely continue under future warming scenarios.
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