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Fuzzy Correlation Measurement Algorithms for Big Data and Application to Exchange Rates and Stock Prices

格兰杰因果关系 计量经济学 大数据 相关性 汇率 模糊逻辑 数学 统计 证券交易所 利比里亚元 算法 经济 数据挖掘 计算机科学 人工智能 财务 几何学
作者
Junhu Ruan,Hua Jiang,Jiahong Yuan,Yan Shi,Yuchun Zhu,Felix T.S. Chan,Weizhen Rao
出处
期刊:IEEE Transactions on Industrial Informatics [Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers]
卷期号:16 (2): 1296-1309 被引量:11
标识
DOI:10.1109/tii.2019.2927349
摘要

In the era of Internet of people and things, big data are merging. Conventional computation algorithms including correlation measures become inefficient to deal with big data problems. Motivated by this observation, we present three fuzzy correlation measurement algorithms, that is, the centroid-based measure, the integral-based measure, and the α-cut-based measure using fuzzy techniques. Data of Shanghai stock price index (SSI) and exchange rates of main foreign currencies over China Yuan from 22 January 2013 to 17 May 2018 are used to check the effectiveness of our algorithms, and, more importantly, to observe the causality relationship between SSI and these main exchange rates. We have observed some findings as follows. First, the usage of the highest, lowest, or closing values in daily exchange rates and stock prices has impact on the significant Granger causes of exchange rates over SSI, but does not produce any opposite cause from SSI to exchange rates. Second, no matter which of our fuzzy measurement algorithms is used, Hongkong Dollar over China Yuan and U.S. Dollar over China Yuan are positively related with SSI, and Euro over China Yuan negatively correlated with SSI is always recognized as a Granger cause to SSI with the significance level being 1%. Finally, both the optimism level and the uncertainty level are observed having impact on the correlation coefficients, but the later brings more significant changes to results of the Granger causality tests.

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