Nomogram developed with APOA5 genetic variant rs662799 and clinical characteristics predicting risk of essential hypertension in a Chinese population

Background: The apolipoprotein A5 (APOA5) gene has been identified as a key regulatory factor in triglyceride (TG) metabolism and plasma lipid levels. Genetic polymorphisms of APOA5 have been linked to an elevated risk of atherosclerosis, metabolic syndrome, stroke, and coronary artery disease. The rs662799 variant is a single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) that occurs at a specific position within the APOA5 gene. However, the association between rs662799 polymorphism and essential hypertension (EHT) remains unclear. The study aimed to comprehensively examine the potential correlation between the rs662799 polymorphism and the susceptibility to EHT in a Chinese population using a systematic analysis. Methods: In a case study conducted at the First Affiliated Hospital of Xinjiang Medical University between Jan 2019 and Dec 2021, we examined a total of 700 cases of EHT along with 700 corresponding controls. The serum concentrations of various lipid parameters were measured by enzymatic method, while the genotyping of the SNP was performed using the improved multiplex ligation detection reaction (iMLDR) method. The independent risk factors of EHT were identified from multivariable logistic regression analysis. The nomogram prediction model that incorporated the APOA5 genetic variations and clinical variables was constructed. In addition, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and Hosmer-Lemeshow test were conducted to determine the performance of the nomogram model. The optimal threshold was calculated based on Youden index. Results: Our study revealed a higher prevalence of the G allele of the rs662799 variant in individuals diagnosed with EHT compared to the control group. Logistic regression analysis indicated that with the adjustment of other confounders, the observed difference between the two groups remained statistically significant [odds ratio (OR) =1.519; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.203–1.917; P<0.001]. Based on 8 independent risk factors including APOA5 rs662799 G allele, age, body mass index (BMI), smoking, diabetes, education, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), and TG, we constructed a novel risk evaluation nomogram of EHT. The area under the ROC curve of the nomogram was 0.722 (95% CI: 0.693–0.752; P<0.001) and 0.747 (95% CI: 0.690–0.804; P<0.001) for the training and validation set, respectively. Furthermore, the Hosmer-Lemeshow test indicated excellent calibration performance, yielding P values of 0.969 for the training set and 0.761 for the validation set. Conclusions: In our study, the rs662799 variant of the APOA5 gene was significantly associated with susceptibility to EHT. A nomogram for the early prediction of EHT in in the Chinese population was successfully constructed and validated. The nomogram can provide a visual assessment of the risk of EHT for clinical consultation.