The association between mitochondrial DNA abundance and stroke: A combination of multivariable-adjusted survival and Mendelian randomization analyses

Background and aimsMitochondrial dysfunction is associated with increased reactive oxygen species (ROS) that are thought to drive disease risk, including stroke. We investigated the association between mtDNA abundance, as a proxy measure of mitochondrial function, and incident stroke, using multivariable-adjusted survival and Mendelian Randomization (MR) analyses.MethodsCox-proportional hazard model analyses were conducted to assess the association between mtDNA abundance, and incident ischemic and hemorrhagic stroke over a maximum of 14-year follow-up in European-ancestry participants from UK Biobank. MR was conducted using independent (R2 < 0.001) lead variants for mtDNA abundance (p < 5 × 10-8) as instrumental variables. Single-nucleotide polymorphism (SNP)-ischemic stroke associations were derived from three published open source European-ancestry results databases (cases/controls): MEGASTROKE (60,341/454,450), UK Biobank (2404/368,771) and FinnGen (10,551/202,223). MR was performed per study, and results were subsequently meta-analyzed.ResultsIn total, 288,572 unrelated participants (46% men) with mean (SD) age of 57 (8) years were included in the Cox-proportional hazard analyses. After correction for considered confounders (BMI, hypertension, cholesterol, T2D), no association was found between low versus high mtDNA abundance and ischemic (HR: 1.06 [95% CI: 0.95, 1.18]) or hemorrhagic (HR: 0.97 [95% CI: 0.82, 1.15]) stroke. However, in the MR analyses after removal of platelet count-associated SNPs, we found evidence for an association between genetically-influenced mtDNA abundance and ischemic stroke (odds ratio, 1.17; confidence interval, 1.03, 1.32).ConclusionsAlthough the results from both multivariable-adjusted prospective and basis MR analyses did not show an association between low mtDNA and increased risk of ischemic stroke, in-depth MR sensitivity analyses may suggest evidence for a causal relationship.