Mechanical thinning without prescribed fire moderates wildfire behavior in an Eastern Oregon, USA ponderosa pine forest

Reducing fuels to better manage risk of high severity wildfire in seasonally dry, fire-prone forests of the western U.S. is an important goal of forest managers, including private landowners, non-governmental organizations, tribal, state, and local governments, and federal agencies. Managing fire risk is a critical objective of the U.S. Forest Service, which emphasizes the use of thinning to reduce tree density and ladder fuels followed by prescribed fire to reduce surface fuel. But the area of Forest Service land treated with thinning and prescribed fire is lagging far behind the area treated only with mechanical thinning due to regulatory and logistical challenges in prescribed fire implementation. Determining if mechanical thinning alone (without prescribed fire) can achieve adequate fire risk reduction has important implications for addressing the fire and fuel management goals set by Congress and the Administration, as well as the management objectives set by non-federal actors. In this study, we report on the effects of mechanical thinning and standard post-thinning fuels management but without prescribed fire on modeled fire behavior and changes in fuel loading over time in a ponderosa pine forest in Eastern Oregon. Thinning without prescribed fire significantly reduced potential crown fire immediately following thinning and also moderated surface modeled fire behavior beginning 2–3 years following thinning. Although small (<7.6 cm diameter) woody surface fuel loading increased following thinning, other ground and surface fuels (i.e., litter and duff) declined substantially, which we attribute to surface disturbance from ground-based logging, decreased deposition of litter, and increased decomposition. These results suggest that fuel reduction and fire risk management objectives can be met with mechanical thinning alone for a number of years. Prescribed fire is likely necessary to extend the effectiveness of mechanical thinning after significant tree or shrub regeneration. Continued monitoring will allow managers to use prescribed fire most efficiently to achieve fire and fuel management objectives.