Childhood cancer survival in Europe 1999–2007: results of EUROCARE-5—a population-based study

医学 危险系数 相对存活率 癌症 生存分析 混淆 人口 人口学 癌症登记处 存活率 癌症存活率 比例危险模型 内科学 置信区间 环境卫生 社会学
作者
Gemma Gatta,Laura Botta,Silvia Rossi,Tiiu Aareleid,Magdalena Bielska–Lasota,Jacqueline Clavel,Nadya Dimitrova,Zsuzsanna Jakab,Peter Kaatsch,Brigitte Lacour,Sandra Mallone,Rafael Marcos‐Gragera,Pamela Minicozzi,María José Sánchez-Pérez,Milena Sant,Mariano Santaquilani,Charles Stiller,Andrea Tavilla,Annalisa Trama,Otto Visser,Rafael Peris-Bonet
出处
期刊:Lancet Oncology [Elsevier]
卷期号:15 (1): 35-47 被引量:796
标识
DOI:10.1016/s1470-2045(13)70548-5
摘要

Survival and cure rates for childhood cancers in Europe have greatly improved over the past 40 years and are mostly good, although not in all European countries. The EUROCARE-5 survival study estimates survival of children diagnosed with cancer between 2000 and 2007, assesses whether survival differences among European countries have changed, and investigates changes from 1999 to 2007.We analysed survival data for 157,499 children (age 0-14 years) diagnosed between Jan 1, 1978 and Dec 31, 2007. They came from 74 population-based cancer registries in 29 countries. We calculated observed, country-weighted 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year survival for major cancers and all cancers combined. For comparison between countries, we used the corrected group prognosis method to provide survival probabilities adjusted for multiple confounders (sex, age, period of diagnosis, and, for all cancers combined without CNS cancers, casemix). Age-adjusted survival differences by area and calendar period were calculated with period analysis and were given for all cancers combined and the major cancers.We analysed 59,579 cases. For all cancers combined for children diagnosed in 2000-07, 1-year survival was 90.6% (95% CI 90.2-90.9), 3-year survival was 81.0 % (95% CI 80.5-81.4), and 5-year survival was 77.9% (95% CI 77.4-78.3). For all cancers combined, 5-year survival rose from 76.1% (74.4-77.7) for 1999-2001, to 79.1% (77.3-80.7) for 2005-07 (hazard ratio 0.973, 95% CI 0.965-0.982, p<0.0001). The greatest improvements were in eastern Europe, where 5-year survival rose from 65.2% (95% CI 63.1-67.3) in 1999-2001, to 70.2% (67.9-72.3) in 2005-07. Europe-wide average yearly change in mortality (hazard ratio) was 0.939 (95% CI 0.919-0.960) for acute lymphoid leukaemia, 0.959 (0.933-0.986) for acute myeloid leukaemia, and 0.940 (0.897-0.984) for non-Hodgkin lymphoma. Mortality for all of Europe did not change significantly for Hodgkin's lymphoma, Burkitt's lymphoma, CNS tumours, neuroblastoma, Wilms' tumour, Ewing's sarcoma, osteosarcoma, and rhabdomyosarcoma. Disparities for 5-year survival persisted between countries and regions, ranging from 70% to 82% (for 2005-07).Several reasons might explain persisting inequalities. The lack of health-care resources is probably most important, especially in some eastern European countries with limited drug supply, lack of specialised centres with multidisciplinary teams, delayed diagnosis and treatment, poor management of treatment, and drug toxicity. In the short term, cross-border care and collaborative programmes could help to narrow the survival gaps in Europe.Italian Ministry of Health, European Commission, Compagnia di San Paolo Foundation.
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