医学
比例危险模型
阶段(地层学)
结直肠癌
接收机工作特性
危险系数
多元分析
肿瘤科
无进展生存期
内科学
曲线下面积
核医学
放射科
癌症
总体生存率
置信区间
古生物学
生物
作者
Guangwen Zhang,Zhibo Xu,Jun Zheng,Mian Wang,Jialiang Ren,Xiaocheng Wei,Huan Yi,Jinsong Zhang
标识
DOI:10.1186/s40644-023-00582-7
摘要
The prognosis prediction of locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) was important to individualized treatment, we aimed to investigate the performance of ultra-high b-value DWI (UHBV-DWI) in progression risk prediction of LARC and compare with routine DWI.This retrospective study collected patients with rectal cancer from 2016 to 2019. Routine DWI (b = 0, 1000 s/mm2) and UHBV-DWI (b = 0, 1700 ~ 3500 s/mm2) were processed with mono-exponential model to generate ADC and ADCuh, respectively. The performance of the ADCuh was compared with ADC in 3-year progression free survival (PFS) assessment using time-dependent ROC and Kaplan-Meier curve. Prognosis model was constructed with ADCuh, ADC and clinicopathologic factors using multivariate COX proportional hazard regression analysis. The prognosis model was assessed with time-dependent ROC, decision curve analysis (DCA) and calibration curve.A total of 112 patients with LARC (TNM-stage II-III) were evaluated. ADCuh performed better than ADC for 3-year PFS assessment (AUC = 0.754 and 0.586, respectively). Multivariate COX analysis showed that ADCuh and ADC were independent factors for 3-year PFS (P < 0.05). Prognostic model 3 (TNM-stage + extramural venous invasion (EMVI) + ADCuh) was superior than model 2 (TNM-stage + EMVI + ADC) and model 1 (TNM-stage + EMVI) for 3-year PFS prediction (AUC = 0.805, 0.719 and 0.688, respectively). DCA showed that model 3 had higher net benefit than model 2 and model 1. Calibration curve demonstrated better agreement of model 1 than model 2 and model 1.ADCuh from UHBV-DWI performed better than ADC from routine DWI in predicting prognosis of LARC. The model based on combination of ADCuh, TNM-stage and EMVI could help to indicate progression risk before treatment.
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