Phthalate exposure from plastics and cardiovascular disease: global estimates of attributable mortality and years life lost

BACKGROUND: New evidence has emerged that plastic polymers and their chemical additives, particularly di-2-ethylhexylphthalate (DEHP), contribute to cardiovascular disease (CVD). Phthalates are commonly used in the production of plastic materials and have been linked to increased oxidative stress, metabolic dysfunction, and cardiovascular disease. Estimates of phthalate-attributable cardiovascular mortality have been made for the US, but global estimates are needed to inform ongoing negotiations of a Global Plastics Treaty. METHODS: Cardiovascular mortality data from the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) and regional DEHP exposure estimates from several sources were used to estimate burden. Hazard ratios of CV mortality were calculated using published exposure estimates, and country-level cardiovascular mortality rates were used to calculate excess deaths and years of life lost (YLL) due to DEHP exposure. FINDINGS: In 2018, an estimated 356,238 deaths globally were attributed to DEHP exposure, representing 13.497% of all cardiovascular deaths among individuals aged 55-64. Of these, 349,113 were attributed to the use of plastics. Geographic disparities were evident, with South Asia and the Middle East suffering the greatest percentage of cardiovascular deaths attributable to DEHP exposure (16.807%). The Middle East, South Asia, East Asia, and the Pacific accounted for the largest shares of DEHP-attributable CVD deaths (73.163%). Globally, DEHP resulted in 10.473 million YLL. INTERPRETATION: Plastics pose a significant risk to increased cardiovascular mortality, disproportionately impacting regions which have developing plastic production sectors. The findings underscore the need for urgent global and local regulatory interventions to kerb mortality from DEHP exposure. FUNDING: Bloomberg Philanthropies and the National Institutes of Health.