估价(财务)
惊喜
认知心理学
突出
召回
结合属性
心理学
启发式
计算机科学
社会心理学
经济
人工智能
操作系统
纯数学
数学
财务
作者
Pedro Bordalo,Nicola Gennaioli,Andrei Shleifer
摘要
Abstract Building on a textbook description of associative memory (Kahana 2012), we present a model of choice in which a choice option cues recall of similar past experiences. Memory shapes valuation and decisions in two ways. First, recalled experiences form a norm, which serves as an initial anchor for valuation. Second, salient quality and price surprises relative to the norm lead to large adjustments in valuation. The model unifies many well-documented choice puzzles, including the attribution and projection biases, inattention to hidden attributes, background contrast effects, and context-dependent willingness to pay. Unifying these puzzles on the basis of selective memory and attention to surprise yields multiple new predictions.
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