Tumor biology, immune infiltration and liver function define seven hepatocellular carcinoma subtypes linked to distinct drivers, survival and drug response

Tumor heterogeneity is jointly determined by the components of the tumor ecosystem (TES) including tumor cells, immune cells, stromal cells, and non-cellular components. We aimed to identify subtypes using TES-related genes and determine subtype specific drivers and treatments for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). We collected 68 genesets depicting tumor biology, immune infiltration, and liver function, totaling 2831 genes, and collected mRNA profiles and clinical data for over 6000 tumors from 65 datasets in the GEO, TCGA, ICGC, and several other databases. We designed a three-step clustering pipeline to identify subtypes. The microenvironment, genomic alteration, and drug response differences were systematically compared among subtypes. Seven subtypes (TES-1/2/3/4/5/6/7) were revealed in 159 tumors from the CHCC-HBV cohort. We constructed a single sample classifier using paired genes (sscpgsTES). TES subtypes were significantly associated with multiple clinical variables including etiology, and survival in 14 of 17 cohorts and the meta-cohort. TES-1 had the poorest prognosis and highest proliferation level. Both TES-2 and TES-7 were immune-enriched, however, TES-2 had a significantly worse prognosis, and hypoxic and immunosuppressive microenvironment. TES-4 had activated Wnt pathway, driven by CTNNB1 mutation. Good prognosis TES-6 exhibited the best differentiation. TES-5 and TES-3 were considered as novel subclasses by comparing with ten previous subtyping systems. TES-5 tumors had high AFP but good overall survival, and ∼45% of them harbored AXIN1 mutation. TES-3 was immune and stromal desert, may be driven by high copy number alteration burden, and had the poorest response to immune checkpoint inhibitor. TES-1 and TES-2 had significantly lower response to transarterial chemoembolization, but they showed significantly higher sensitivity to compound YM-155. Tumor ecosystem subtypes expand existing HCC subtyping systems, have distinct drivers, prognosis, and treatment vulnerabilities.