Characteristics and driving conditions of flash drought in different grassland ecosystems

At present, flash droughts are poorly understood. Mature prevention and control measures are not available. This study aims to thoroughly explore the evolution characteristics of flash droughts in grassland ecosystems and to determine the meteorological driving conditions for inducing and relieving flash droughts. We propose the concept of the strong evapotranspiration flash drought (SEFD), a new type of flash drought in mid-temperate grasslands. The frequency of SEFDs is lower than that of heat wave flash droughts (HWFDs), but the intensity and impact of SEFDs are greater than those of HWFDs. Flash droughts in grasslands exhibit a high outbreak period from May to August, with the intensity basically above that of moderate drought. HWFDs occur most frequently in June and SEFDs in May. Meadow grasslands are the type of grassland with the highest risk of flash drought. Typical grasslands are more prone to HWFDs, while desert grasslands are more prone to SEFD outbreaks. In this study, a multifactor method was established to quantitatively evaluate the key influencing factors inducing flash droughts of different intensities in different time periods and to quantitatively predict the evolution of flash droughts into seasonal droughts. The temperature, water vapor pressure, precipitation, and wind speed were the key influencing factors of flash droughts and that the most important period in terms of inducing flash droughts is one pentad before the onset of flash drought. The outbreak rate and threshold of key influencing factors are the driving conditions for inducing flash droughts, and the recovery rate can be used as the basis for predicting whether an flash drought will evolve into a seasonal drought. The results showed that the characteristics and driving conditions of flash droughts are different in different types of grasslands and different time periods and are different for different types of flash droughts. In the future, the impact of flash droughts will become more severe.