Development and Comparison of Prediction Models Based on Sonovue- and Sonazoid-Enhanced Ultrasound for Pathologic Grade and Microvascular Invasion in Hepatocellular Carcinoma

This study was aimed at developing and comparing prediction models based on Sonovue and Sonazoid contrast-enhanced ultrasound (CEUS) in predicting pathologic grade and microvascular invasion (MVI) of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Also investigated was whether Kupffer phase images have additional predictive value for the above pathologic features.Ninety patients diagnosed with primary HCC who had undergone curative hepatectomy were prospectively enrolled. All patients underwent conventional ultrasound (CUS), Sonovue-CEUS and Sonazoid-CEUS examinations pre-operatively. Clinical, radiologic and pathologic features including pathologic grade, MVI and CD68 expression were collected. We developed prediction models comprising clinical, CUS and CEUS (Sonovue and Sonazoid, respectively) features for pathologic grade and MVI with both the logistic regression and machine learning (ML) methods.Forty-one patients (45.6%) had poorly differentiated HCC (p-HCC) and 37 (41.1%) were MVI positive. For pathologic grade, the logistic model based on Sonazoid-CEUS had significantly better performance than that based on Sonovue-CEUS (area under the curve [AUC], 0.929 vs. 0.848, p = 0.035), whereas for MVI, these two models had similar accuracy (AUC, 0.810 vs. 0.786, p = 0.068). Meanwhile, we found that well-differentiated HCC tended to have a higher enhancement ratio in 6-12 min during the Kupffer phase of Sonazoid-CEUS, as well as higher CD68 expression compared with p-HCC. In addition, all of these models can effectively predict the risk of recurrence (p < 0.05).Sonovue-CEUS and Sonazoid-CEUS were comparably excellent in predicting MVI, while Sonazoid-CEUS was superior to Sonovue-CEUS in predicting pathologic grade because of the Kupffer phase. The enhancement ratio in the Kupffer phase has additional predictive value for pathologic grade prediction.