基本再生数
成对比较
传输(电信)
统计物理学
比例(比率)
蒙特卡罗方法
计算机科学
分叉
流行病模型
常量(计算机编程)
数学
群(周期表)
传输速率
疾病传播
班级(哲学)
动力学(音乐)
应用数学
变化(天文学)
人类免疫缺陷病毒(HIV)
数学优化
作者
Shu-Ling Yan,Yun-Fei Wang,Yihong Li,Xiao-Feng Luo,Junyuan Yang,Gui-Quan Sun
出处
期刊:Chaos
[American Institute of Physics]
日期:2026-01-01
卷期号:36 (1)
摘要
Infectious diseases pose a significant threat to global health security. Higher-order networks have recently emerged as a powerful framework to capture group-based transmission processes. Conventional studies often assume that transmission probabilities scale with group size; however, such probabilities may in fact remain constant due to intrinsic epidemiological properties. In other words, the apparent variation of transmission probabilities may instead arise from additive effects which may stem from time scale variations for various group sizes based on the existing studies. The group-size based multiscale influence on the dynamics is unclear. To elucidate this mechanism, we propose a multiscale epidemic model on hypergraphs incorporating two- and three-body interactions, where transmission intensities are used to unify heterogeneous temporal scales. Two extreme mechanisms are analyzed: individual and group transmission models. We derive the basic reproduction number R0 and perform bifurcation analysis. Our results reveal that R0 depends on both pairwise and triadic transmission intensities and yields only forward bifurcation in individual transmission, whereas in group transmission R0 depends solely on the latter but exhibits backward bifurcation. Subsequently, Monte Carlo simulations validate the models' rationality and further numerical simulations demonstrate that triadic transmission intensity markedly alters the basic reproduction number, steady states, and region distributions of the solutions. These findings highlight how additive effects of group interactions drive multiscale epidemic dynamics, offering new insights into higher-order mechanisms underlying infectious disease spread.
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