Improving the interpretability of deep reinforcement learning in urban drainage system operation

Sobol序列 可解释性 强化学习 灵敏度(控制系统) 计算机科学 人工智能 控制(管理) 机器学习 工程类 电子工程
作者
Wenchong Tian,Guangtao Fu,Kunlun Xin,Zhiyu Zhang,Zhenliang Liao
出处
期刊:Water Research [Elsevier BV]
卷期号:249: 120912-120912 被引量:38
标识
DOI:10.1016/j.watres.2023.120912
摘要

Deep reinforcement learning (DRL) has been increasingly used as an adaptive and efficient solution for real-time control (RTC) of the urban drainage system (UDS). Despite the promising potential of DRL, it is a black-box model whose control logic and control consequences are difficult to be understood and evaluated. This leads to issues of interpretability and poses risks in practical applications. This study develops an evaluation framework to analyze and improve the interpretability of DRL-based UDS operation. The framework includes three analysis methods: Sobol sensitivity analysis, tree-based surrogate modelling, and conditional probability analysis. It is validated using two different DRL approaches, i.e., deep Q-learning network (DQN) and proximal policy optimization (PPO), which are trained to reduce combined sewer overflow (CSO) discharges and flooding in a real-world UDS. According to the results, the two DRLs have been shown to perform better than a rule-based control system that is currently being used. Sobol sensitivity analysis indicates that DQN is particularly sensitive to the flow of links and rainfall, while PPO is sensitive to all the states. Tree-based surrogate models effectively reveal the control logic behind the DRLs and indicate that PPO is more comprehensible but DQN is more forward-looking. Conditional probability analysis demonstrates the potential control consequences of the DRLs and identifies three situations where the DRLs are ineffective: a) the storage of UDS is fully utilized; b) peak flows have already passed through actuators; c) a substantial amount of water enters one location simultaneously. The proposed evaluation framework enhances the interpretability of DRL in UDS operations, fostering trust and confidence from operators, stakeholders, and regulators.
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