Analyzing ozone formation sensitivity in a typical industrial city in China: Implications for effective source control in the chemical transition regime

Volatile organic compounds (VOCs) play a major role in O3 formation in urban environments. However, the complexity in the emissions of VOCs and nitrogen oxides (NOx) in industrial cities has made it challenging to identify the key factors influencing O3 formation. This study used observation-based-model (OBM) to analyze O3 sensitivities to VOCs and NOx during summer in a typical industrial city in China. The OBM model results were coupled with a receptor model to analyze the sources of O3. Higher concentrations of O3 precursors were observed during polluted periods indicating that precursor accumulation contributed to the higher maxima of the net ozone formation rate and HOx concentrations. Analyses of ROx· budgets and relative incremental reactivity (RIR) indicated that O3 production is in a chemical transition regime and was sensitive to both VOCs and NOx. Results from Positive Matrix Factorization (PMF) analysis indicated that gasoline vehicle emissions, industrial processes, and coal combustion were major sources of O3 precursors. The sensitivities of O3 production to these sources depend on if both VOC and NOx sensitivities are considered. If only VOCs sensitivity is considered, in contrast, the contribution of anthropogenic sources to O3 production was significantly underestimated. This study highlights the importance of accounting for both VOCs and NOx sensitivities when O3 chemistry is in a transition regime in O3 production attribution studies.