Role of Biological Age in the Determination of Long‐Term Cause‐Specific Death Following Percutaneous Coronary Interventions

医学 危险系数 内科学 经皮冠状动脉介入治疗 比例危险模型 心脏病学 生物年龄 置信区间 心肌梗塞 老年学
作者
Mandeep Singh,Paul A. Friedman,Rajiv Gulati,Abdallah El Sabbagh,Bradley R. Lewis,Amrit Kanwar,Claire E. Raphael,Mohammed Ahmad Al-Hijji,Zachi Itzhak Attia,Atta Behfar,James L. Kirkland
出处
期刊:Journal of the American Heart Association [Wiley]
卷期号:14 (5): e036876-e036876 被引量:6
标识
DOI:10.1161/jaha.124.036876
摘要

Background We tested whether biologic age, as estimated by deficits, functional impairments, or Age‐Gap or their combination, provide improved estimation of cause‐specific death as compared with chronological age. Methods Cardiovascular and noncardiovascular deficits, functional impairments, and Age‐Gap were prospectively collected in 535 patients aged ≥55 years undergoing percutaneous coronary interventions between August 1, 2014, and March 31, 2018. Age‐Gap was calculated as the difference between chronological age and age estimated by artificial intelligence ECG using a convolutional neural network. The full biological age model included deficits, functional impairments, and Age‐Gap >2 SD. A multivariable reduced model with the least number of variables was also created to provide a comparable C index to the full model. Results The average chronological age was 72.1±9.5 years, and there were 68% of men. During a median follow‐up of 2.61 years, 124 (23%) patients died. There was a modest correlation between Age‐Gap and biological age ( r =0.28 [95% CI, 0.20–0.35]; P <0.001). When modeled with chronologic age as a covariate, Age‐Gap predicted all‐cause (hazard ratio [HR], 1.07 [95% CI, 1.04–1.10]; P <0.001) and cardiovascular (HR, 1.07 [95% CI, 1.04–1.11]; P <0.001) mortality. As compared with chronological age, the full biological age model noted significant improvement in the prediction of long‐term overall (95% CI, 0.65–0.78), cardiovascular (95% CI, 0.69–0.77), and noncardiovascular (95% CI, 0.55–0.86) mortality. In the reduced models, most prognostic information for noncardiovascular mortality (C index: 0.79) was obtained by subjective difficulty in performing tasks, whereas the deficit‐based estimation predicted cardiovascular mortality (C index: 0.72). Conclusions Estimated biological age from deficits and functional impairments was superior to chronological age in predicting long‐term cause‐specific mortality following percutaneous coronary interventions.
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