Noninvasive Detection of Urothelial Carcinoma by Cost-effective Low-coverage Whole-genome Sequencing from Urine-Exfoliated Cell DNA

Abstract Purpose: Urothelial carcinoma is a malignant cancer with frequent chromosomal aberrations. Here, we investigated the application of a cost-effective, low-coverage whole-genome sequencing technology in detecting all chromosomal aberrations. Experimental Design: Patients with urothelial carcinomas and nontumor controls were prospectively recruited in clinical trial NCT03998371. Urine-exfoliated cell DNA was analyzed by Illumina HiSeq XTen, followed by genotyping with a customized bioinformatics workflow named Urine Exfoliated Cells Copy Number Aberration Detector (UroCAD). Results: In the discovery phase, urine samples from 126 patients with urothelial carcinomas and 64 nontumor disease samples were analyzed. Frequent chromosome copy-number changes were found in patients with tumor as compared with nontumor controls. A novel diagnosis model, UroCAD, was built by incorporating all the autosomal chromosomal changes. The model reached performance of AUC = 0.92 (95% confidence interval, 89.4%–97.3%). At the optimal cutoff, |Z| ≥ 3.21, the sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy were 82.5%, 96.9%, and 89.0%, respectively. The prediction positivity was found correlated with tumor grade (P = 0.01). In the external validation cohort of 95 participants, the UroCAD assay identified urothelial carcinomas with an overall sensitivity of 80.4%, specificity of 94.9%, and AUC of 0.91. Meanwhile, UroCAD assay outperformed cytology tests with significantly improved sensitivity (80.4% vs. 33.9%; P < 0.001) and comparable specificity (94.9% vs. 100%; P = 0.49). Conclusions: UroCAD could be a robust urothelial carcinoma diagnostic method with improved sensitivity and similar specificity as compared with cytology tests. It may be used as a noninvasive approach for diagnosis and recurrence surveillance in urothelial carcinoma prior to the use of cystoscopy, which would largely reduce the burden on patients.