Toward digital twins in the intensive care unit: a medication management case study

Abstract Objective To evaluate the efficacy of digital twins developed using a large language model (LLaMA-3), fine-tuned with Low-Rank Adapters (LoRA) on intensive care units (ICU) physician notes, and to determine whether specialty-specific training enhances treatment recommendation accuracy compared to other ICU specialties or zero-shot baselines. Materials and Methods Digital twins were created using LLaMA-3 fine-tuned on discharge summaries from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care III dataset, where medications were masked to construct training and testing datasets. The medical ICU dataset (1000 notes) was used for evaluation, and performance was assessed using Bidirectional Encoder Representations from Transformers Score (BERTScore) and ROUGE-L. A zero-shot baseline model, relying solely on contextual instructions without training, was also evaluated. While our approach moves toward digital twin capabilities, it does not incorporate real-time, patient-specific electronic health records data and can be viewed as an ICU specialty-level language model adaptation. Results Models fine-tuned on medical ICU notes achieved the highest BERTScore (0.842), outperforming models trained on other specialties or mixed datasets. Zero-shot models showed the lowest performance, highlighting the importance of training. Discussion The findings demonstrate that specialty-specific training significantly improves treatment recommendation accuracy in digital twins compared to generalized or zero-shot approaches. Tailoring models to specific ICU domains strengthens their clinical decision-support capabilities. Conclusion Context-specific fine-tuning of LLMs is crucial for developing effective digital twins, offering foundational insights for personalized clinical decision support.