Prognostic Value of Preoperative Mean Platelet Volume and a Predictive Nomogram in Oral Squamous Cell Carcinoma Patients Based on Real-World Data

Objective: We aimed to identify new prognostic factors of oral squamous cell carcinoma (OSCC) among platelet-related parameters, establish a survival prediction model to predict the survival status of OSCC patients, and analyze the therapeutic effect of neoadjuvant chemotherapy on OSCC patients on the basis of real-world data. Materials and Methods: The real-world data of patients with OSCC confirmed by pathologic examination at Cancer Hospital from January 2011 to January 2015 and May 2017 to January 2020 were collected. We analyzed clinicopathologic factors using a Cox regression analysis, the Kaplan-Meier method, and propensity score matching (PSM). Results: The multivariate Cox regression analysis of not only validated the traditional prognostic factors such as tumor site, neural invasion, poor differentiation, and tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) stage but also identified a new prognostic factor, preoperative mean platelet volume (MPV) for overall survival (OS, HR, 0.47; 95% CI: 0.25– 0.89, P = 0.020). A nomogram was created to predict the probability of 3-year and 5-year OS. We found that neoadjuvant chemotherapy improved OS in patients with OSCC. Conclusion: Preoperative MPV, being associated with female, neoadjuvant chemotherapy, and advanced stage (Stage III and IV), may be a new prognostic factor for OS of patients with OSCC. The nomograms provided useful prediction for OS in OSCC patients. Neoadjuvant chemotherapy may improve the OS of patients with OSCC. Keywords: oral squamous cell carcinoma, overall survival, nomogram, mean platelet volume, neoadjuvant chemotherapy, induction chemotherapy