A Mammography-Based Radiomic Nomogram for Predicting Malignancy in Breast Suspicious Microcalcifications

Preoperative accurate identification of benign and malignant breast lesions is vital for patients to achieve individualized treatment. This study aimed to develop and validate a mammography-based radiomic nomogram for predicting malignant risk of breast suspicious microcalcifications (MCs).496 patients with histologically confirmed breast suspicious MCs were randomly divided into the training set (n = 346) and validation set (n = 150). Radiomics features was extracted from the craniocaudal and mediolateral oblique images. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator algorithm were used to select radiomics features, then radiomics score (Rad-score) was calculated. Univariate analysis was used to identify malignant MCs-related clinical independent risk factors. Multivariate logistic regression was used to establish a clinical-radiomics model by incorporating Rad-score and clinic factors. A nomogram was developed to visualize the clinical-radiomics model. The receiver operating characteristic curve, calibration curve and decision curve analysis (DCA) were used to evaluate the performance of the nomogram.The Rad-score was consisted of 29 optimal radiomics features. We developed a nomogram by incorporating Rad-score, menopause status, MCs morphology and distribution, the area under the curve value of the combined model was 0.926(95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.878-0.975) for the validation set. The calibration curves and DCA indicated the combined model had favorable calibration and clinical utility.The combined model could be considered as a potential imaging marker to predict malignant risk of breast suspicious MCs.