Integrative radiogenomics analysis for predicting molecular features and survival in clear cell renal cell carcinoma

OBJECTIVES To assess the feasibility of predicting molecular characteristics by computed tomography (CT) radiomics features, and predicting overall survival (OS) using combination of omics data in clear cell renal cell carcinoma (ccRCC). METHODS Genetic data of 207 ccRCC patients was retrieved from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) and matched contrast-enhanced CT images were obtained from The Cancer Imaging Archive (TCIA). Another cohort of 175 ccRCC patients from West China Hospital was used as external validation. We first applied radiomics features and machine learning algorithms to predict genetic mutations and mRNA-based molecular subtypes. Next, we established predictive models for OS based on single omics, combined omics (radiomics+genomics, radiomics+transcriptomics, radiomics+proteomics) and all features (multi-omics). RESULTS Using radiomics features, random forest algorithm showed good capacity to identify the mutations VHL (AUC=0.971), BAP1 (AUC=0.955), PBRM1 (AUC=0.972), SETD2 (AUC=0.949), and molecular subtypes m1 (AUC=0.973), m2 (AUC=0.968), m3 (AUC=0.961), m4 (AUC=0.953). The TCGA cohort was divided into training (n=104) and validation (n=103) sets. The radiomics model had promising prognostic value for OS in validation set (5-year AUC=0.775) and external validation set (5-year AUC=0.755). In the validation set, the radiomics+omics models enhanced predictive accuracy than single-omics models, and the multi-omics model made further improvement (5-year AUC=0.846). High-risk group of validation set predicted by multi-omics model showed significantly poorer OS (HR=6.20, 95%CI: 3.19-8.44, p<0.0001). CONCLUSIONS CT radiomics might be a feasible approach to predict genetic mutations, molecular subtypes and OS in ccRCC patients. Integrative analysis of radiogenomics may improve the survival prediction of ccRCC patients.