Radiologic-pathologic correlation of interstitial lung abnormalities and predictors for progression and survival

To evaluate radiologic and histologic correlations for interstitial lung abnormalities (ILAs) and to investigate radiologic or pathologic features contributing to disease progression and mortality.From 268 patients who underwent surgical lung biopsy between January 2004 and April 2019, 45 patients with incidentally detected ILA and normal pulmonary function were retrospectively included. CT features were classified as subpleural fibrotic or non-fibrotic, and changes in ILA over at least 2 years of follow-up were evaluated. Histologic findings were categorized as definite, probable, indeterminate, or alternative diagnosis for usual interstitial pneumonia (UIP) patterns. Overall and progression-free survival were calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method, and the Cox proportional hazard method was used to examine predictors for ILA progression and survival.Among 36 subpleural fibrotic ILA subjects, 25 (69%) showed definite or probable UIP patterns, and 89% (8/9) of subpleural non-fibrotic ILA subjects showed an indeterminate or alternative diagnosis for UIP pattern on histopathology. On the radiologic-pathologic correlation, reticular opacity of fibrotic ILA was correlated with patchy involvement of fibrosis, and ground-glass attenuation of non-fibrotic ILA corresponded to diffuse interstitial thickening. The median progression time of ILA was 54 months, and fibrotic ILA increased the likelihood of progression (hazard ratio, 2.42; p = 0.017). The median survival time of ILA subjects was 123 months, and fibrotic ILA was associated with an increased risk of death (hazard ratio, 9.22; p = 0.025).Subpleural fibrotic ILAs are associated with pathologic UIP patterns, and it is important to recognize subpleural fibrotic ILA on CT to predict disease progression and mortality.• In total, 69% of subpleural fibrotic ILA showed definite or probable UIP patterns, while 11% of subpleural non-fibrotic ILA showed definite or probable UIP patterns. • Subpleural fibrotic ILA was associated with an increased rate of progression (hazard ratio, 2.42; p = 0.017), and the median progression-free time was 40 months. • Subpleural fibrotic ILA had an increased risk of death (hazard ratio, 9.22; p = 0.025), and the median survival time was 86 months.