A framework to quantitatively assess the influence of land use and land cover on coastal wetland hydrological connectivity from a landscape resistance perspective

Land use and land cover (LULC) change is one of the dominant factors contributing to coastal wetland degradation and loss. Most studies focused on LULC changes or whether they influenced on ecosystems. However, few studies quantitatively assessed the impact of different LULCs on hydrological connectivity. This study aimed to understand how LULC affected hydrological connectivity in the coastal wetlands in the Yellow River Delta (YRD), China, from 1985 to 2020. A framework from a landscape resistance perspective was used to evaluate the LULC's influence. LULCs were converted into a series of resistance surfaces whose values represent the degree to which LULC facilitated or restricted hydrological connectivity. The LULC's influence was evaluated by parameterizing the resistance surfaces using observed hydrological connectivity. The results showed that human-related LULC had more influence on hydrological connectivity. The critical time of LULC's influence on hydrological connectivity was 1985–1990 and 2010–2015. The critical areas were Zone II, Zone I, and Zone VI. The LULCs of agriculture, industry, town/city, and river had the most significant impact on the hydrological connectivity of the YRD coastal wetland. The result could direct LULC planning to mitigate the negative effect on coastal wetlands and provide support for the environmental impact assessment of coastal development practices. This paper advances the study by assessing LULCs' impact on hydrological connectivity and providing a quantitative method. The framework of this study enriches the coastal wetland conservation theory and policy-making of coastal management.