Development and validation of an integrated system for lung cancer screening and post-screening pulmonary nodules management: a proof-of-concept study (ASCEND-LUNG)

Background: In order to address the low compliance and dissatisfied specificity of low-dose computed tomography (LDCT), efficient and non-invasive approaches are needed to complement its limitations for lung cancer screening and management. The ASCEND-LUNG study is a prospective two-stage case-control study designed to evaluate the performance of a liquid biopsy-based comprehensive lung cancer screening and post-screening pulmonary nodules management system. Methods: We aimed to develop a comprehensive lung cancer system called Peking University Lung Cancer Screening and Management System (PKU-LCSMS) which comprises a lung cancer screening model to identify specific populations requiring LDCT and an artificial intelligence-aided (AI-aided) pulmonary nodules diagnostic model to classify pulmonary nodules following LDCT. A dataset of 465 participants (216 cancer, 47 benign, 202 non-cancer control) were used for the two models' development phase. For the lung cancer screening model development, cancer participants were randomly split at a ratio of 1:1 into the train and validation cohorts, and then non-cancer controls were age-matched to the cancer cases in a 1:1 ratio. Similarly, for the AI-aided pulmonary nodules model, cancer and benign participants were also randomly divided at a ratio of 2:1 into the train and validation cohorts. Subsequently, during the model validation phase, sensitivity and specificity were validated using an independent validation cohort consisting of 291 participants (140 cancer, 25 benign, 126 non-cancer control). Prospectively collected blood samples were analyzed for multi-omics including cell-free DNA (cfDNA) methylation, mutation, and serum protein. Computerized tomography (CT) images data was also obtained. Paired tissue samples were additionally analyzed for DNA methylation, DNA mutation, and messenger RNA (mRNA) expression to further explore the potential biological mechanisms. This study is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT04817046. Findings: Baseline blood samples were evaluated for the whole screening and diagnostic process. The cfDNA methylation-based lung cancer screening model exhibited the highest area under the curve (AUC) of 0.910 (95% CI, 0.869-0.950), followed by the protein model (0.891 [95% CI, 0.845-0.938]) and lastly the mutation model (0.577 [95% CI, 0.482-0.672]). Further, the final screening model, which incorporated cfDNA methylation and protein features, achieved an AUC of 0.963 (95% CI, 0.942-0.984). In the independent validation cohort, the multi-omics screening model showed a sensitivity of 99.2% (95% CI, 0.957-1.000) at a specificity of 56.3% (95% CI, 0.472-0.652). For the AI-aided pulmonary nodules diagnostic model, which incorporated cfDNA methylation and CT images features, it yielded a sensitivity of 81.1% (95% CI, 0.732-0.875), a specificity of 76.0% (95% CI, 0.549-0.906) in the independent validation cohort. Furthermore, four differentially methylated regions (DMRs) were shared in the lung cancer screening model and the AI-aided pulmonary nodules diagnostic model. Interpretation: We developed and validated a liquid biopsy-based comprehensive lung cancer screening and management system called PKU-LCSMS which combined a blood multi-omics based lung cancer screening model incorporating cfDNA methylation and protein features and an AI-aided pulmonary nodules diagnostic model integrating CT images and cfDNA methylation features in sequence to streamline the entire process of lung cancer screening and post-screening pulmonary nodules management. It might provide a promising applicable solution for lung cancer screening and management. Funding: This work was supported by Science, Science, Technology & Innovation Project of Xiongan New Area, Beijing Natural Science Foundation, CAMS Innovation Fund for Medical Sciences (CIFMS), Clinical Medicine Plus X-Young Scholars Project of Peking University, the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities, Research Unit of Intelligence Diagnosis and Treatment in Early Non-small Cell Lung Cancer, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, National Natural Science Foundation of China, Peking University People's Hospital Research and Development Funds, National Key Research and Development Program of China, and the fundamental research funds for the central universities.