Soluble programmed cell death ligand 1 predicts prognosis for gastric cancer patients treated with nivolumab: Blood-based biomarker analysis for the DELIVER trial

The clinical value of soluble forms of programmed cell death-1 (sPD-1), PD ligand 1 (sPD-L1) and cytotoxic T lymphocyte-associated protein-4 (sCTLA-4) for gastric cancer (GC) patients treated with nivolumab monotherapy has remained unknown.Blood samples collected before nivolumab treatment from 439 GC patients enrolled in the DELIVER (Japan Clinical Cancer Research Organisation GC-08) trial were analysed for sPD-1, sPD-L1 and sCTLA-4. Corresponding baseline clinical data were also retrieved.Higher plasma levels of sPD-1 (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.27, p = 0.020), sPD-L1 (HR = 1.86, p < 0.001) and sCTLA-4 (HR = 1.33, p = 0.008) were significantly associated with shorter overall survival (OS), whereas only higher sPD-L1 levels was significantly associated with shorter progression-free survival (HR = 1.30, p = 0.008). The sPD-L1 concentration was significantly associated with the Glasgow prognostic score (GPS) (p < 0.001), but both sPD-L1 (HR = 1.67, p < 0.001) and GPS (HR = 1.39, p = 0.009 for GPS 0 versus 1; HR = 1.95, p < 0.001 for GPS 0 versus 2) were independently associated with OS. Patients with a GPS of 0 and low sPD-L1 thus showed the longest OS (median, 12.0 months) and those with a GPS of 2 and high sPD-L1 showed the shortest OS (median, 3.1 months), yielding a HR of 3.69 (p < 0.001).Baseline sPD-L1 levels have the potential to predict survival for advanced GC patients treated with nivolumab, with the prognostic accuracy of sPD-L1 being improved by its combination with GPS.