Local Bias in Google Search and the Market Response around Earnings Announcements

收益 收益惊喜 匹配(统计) 计量经济学 经济 盈利后公告漂移 选择偏差 倾向得分匹配 收益反应系数 货币经济学 业务 会计 统计 数学
作者
S. Sabrina,Devin M. Shanthikumar
出处
期刊:The Accounting Review [American Accounting Association]
卷期号:92 (4): 115-143 被引量:89
标识
DOI:10.2308/accr-51632
摘要

ABSTRACT We examine the impact of distance on internet search, and the effect of the “local bias” in search on the stock market response around earnings announcements. We find significant local bias in search behavior. Motivated by theories explaining local bias, local information advantage, and familiarity bias, we predict and find that firms with higher local bias in search experience higher bid-ask spreads, lower trading volumes, and lower earnings response coefficients at the time of earnings announcements, consistent with non-local investors relying more than locals on public information announcements. Consistent with local information advantage, we find that in the week prior to the announcement, firms with higher local bias have higher bid-ask spreads, higher trading volumes, and returns that are more predictive of the coming earnings surprise. Consistent with familiarity bias, firms with higher local bias in search experience stronger post-earnings announcement drift. We use unique predictions, propensity score matching, and two-stage least squares to identify the effects of local bias separately from the effects of overall visibility. Overall, we show there is significant local bias in search, and that this local bias has a significant impact on the market response around earnings announcements.
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