Recurrence Risk Perception, Fear of Progression, and Health Behaviors Among Patients With Ischemic Stroke

Background: The relationship between recurrence risk perception, fear of progression, and health behaviors in patients with ischemic stroke is unclear. Objective: To explore the effect of accuracy and level of recurrence risk perception on health behaviors and the mediating role of fear of progression. Methods: We conducted a 2-wave survey. Patients with ischemic stroke (N = 261) were recruited from 2 hospitals in Guangzhou, China. Before discharge, demographic information, objective recurrence risk, perceived recurrence risk, fear of progression, and health behaviors were investigated. After 1 month, the patient’s health behaviors were followed up. Results: The median (quartiles 1-3) scores for recurrence risk perception and fear of progression were 43.0 (39.0-46.0) and 22.0 (18.0-28.0), respectively. Only 22.2% of the patients correctly perceived the risk of recurrence, 23.0% underestimated the risk, and 30.7% overestimated the risk. Patients who overestimated the risk of recurrence (β = 0.421, P = .002) or had a higher perceived level of recurrence risk (β = 0.446, P < .001) had a higher fear of progression, which contributed to better health behaviors at 1 month (β = 0.197, P = .001). Fear of progression played a partial and full mediating role, respectively. Patients who underestimated the recurrence risk had worse health behaviors than those who accurately perceived it (β = −0.296, P = .033). Conclusion: Both accuracy and level of recurrence risk perception were independent predictors of future health behaviors, and fear of progression was mediating. Health care professionals should develop individualized risk education programs to help stroke patients properly understand and cope with the risk of recurrence.